A week ago, I had the privilege of sitting down one-on-one with Dennis Mortensen. Dennis is currently Director of Data Insights at Yahoo as a result of their acquisition of his firm, IndexTools, last year. I first met Dennis at a Meetup on data and insights here in New York, where he spoke about microformats, which can allow data to be processed and understood semantically.
In casual conversation at the meetup, Dennis had briefly touched on the proliferation of data, both online and offline, and how this proliferation is changing the way media is bought and sold. I wanted to get more of his thoughts here (and hear who he thinks is best-positioned to deal with these changes), hence the sit-down. Plus, he’s a super-nice guy.
As we chatted about the future of analytics, Dennis pointed out that the business of collecting, storing, and retrieving data has become a commodity. As a result, being able to tell what happened and why is so…yesterday. Rather, the REAL opportunity lies in using a combination of business intelligence and predictive analytics to make forward-looking decisions using data. He used the example of a retailer who studied how weather impacts consumer behavior on Black Friday – do consumers shop offline more in good weather and online more in bad weather? This retailer used the results to adjust the amount they chose to spend on their AdWords campaign.
We also talked a bit about the state of online advertising. Dennis pointed out that a publisher can now know a lot about who’s coming to their site, so much so that they may have to be paid for their data. It’s an interesting topic these days – there seems to be disagreement about the value of publisher data, what it’s best used for (leverage in direct sales vs. extracting higher bids in ad exchanges), and how exactly to extract the value of that data. For his part, Dennis suggested that some smart publishers may decide to forego the ad exchanges entirely (focusing on direct sales), while putting their data on exchanges like that from BlueKai.
It was a really informative conversation, and I certainly can’t thank Dennis enough for taking the time to speak. Check out his Visual Revenue blog to get regular dose of his insight mixed with good humor.